台風５号がまもなく発生

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フィリピンの東海上にある熱帯低気圧が、24時間以内に台風５号になる見込み。
２１日金曜日午前0時現在、熱帯低気圧の中心気圧は1006hPa、中心付近の最大風速は15m/ s、最大瞬間風速は23m/sで、時速約15km/ hで北に進んでいる。

熱帯低気圧が予報円の中心を進んだ場合、23日日曜日にフィリピンの東で強い勢力になり、その後、２５日火曜日には沖縄の南で非常に強い勢力に発達する。

２５日火曜日21時の暴風警戒域に沖縄の宮古島や石垣島などが入ってきた。
来週後半は沖縄に接近する可能性があり、警報級の大雨、暴風、うねりを伴った高波による被害が出る恐れがある。

現在、フィリピンから種子島、屋久島付近までの海域では、水温が約３０度と高く、台風が発達するエネルギーである水蒸気が十分に供給される環境にある。このため台風は非常に強い勢力を維持、またはさらに発達して沖縄に接近するかもしれない。

ただ来週は太平洋高気圧の勢力が強まるため、台風が本州方面に接近する可能性は低い。
アメリカ海洋大気局の予想では、26日水曜日に沖縄の八重山諸島を通過してそのまま東シナ海を北上、中国大陸へ進む。

中期ヨーロッパ予報センターの予報では、２７日木曜日午前に台湾を直撃してその後、中国大陸へ進む見込みだ。

 A tropical depression located over the eastern sea of the Philippines is expected to become Typhoon 5 within the next 24 hours.

As of 12:00 AM on Friday, the 21st, the central pressure of the tropical depression is 1006 hPa, with maximum sustained winds near the center at 15 m/s and maximum gusts at 23 m/s. It is moving north at a speed of about 15 km/h.

If the tropical depression follows the forecast track, it is projected to intensify into a strong typhoon on the eastern side of the Philippines on Sunday, the 23rd, and then further develop into a very strong typhoon south of Okinawa on Tuesday, the 25th.

On Tuesday 9:00 PM, the 25th, Areas including Miyakojima and Ishigaki in Okinawa are expected to enter the gale warning area. There is a possibility of approaching Okinawa in the latter half of next week, and there is a risk of significant damage from warning-level heavy rainfall, strong winds, and high waves with swells.

Currently, the sea surface temperatures in the area from the Philippines to the vicinity of Tanegashima and Yakushima are around 30 degrees Celsius, providing a highly conducive environment for the development of the typhoon, with sufficient supply of moisture, which is the energy source for its intensification. Therefore, the typhoon may maintain its very strong intensity or even further intensify as it approaches Okinawa.

The next week, the Pacific high-pressure system is expected to strengthen, reducing the likelihood of a typhoon approaching Honshu.

According to the forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the typhoon is projected to pass through the Yaeyama Islands of Okinawa on Wednesday, the 26th, and then continue to move north into the East China Sea, heading towards mainland China.

According to the forecast from the Mid-term European Centre for Weather Forecasts, the typhoon is expected to make a direct hit on Taiwan on Thursday, the 27th, in the morning, and then proceed towards mainland China.

预计菲律宾东海的热带低气压将在接下来的24小时内发展成台风5号。

截至21日星期五凌晨12点，热带低气压的中心气压为1006百帕，中心附近最大持续风速为15米/秒，最大瞬时风速为23米/秒。它正以每小时约15公里的速度向北移动。

如果热带低气压按预测路径行进，预计将在23日星期日在菲律宾东部增强为强台风，然后在25日星期二在冲绳南部进一步发展成为极强台风。

25日星期二晚上9点，包括冲绳宫古岛和石垣岛在内的地区预计将进入暴风警戒区。下周后半段可能会靠近冲绳，存在警报级别的暴雨、强风和伴有涌浪的高波可能造成重大损害的风险。

目前，从菲律宾到稻叶岛和屋久岛附近海域的海表温度约为30摄氏度，为台风发展提供了非常有利的环境，充足的水汽供应是其增强的能源来源。因此，台风在靠近冲绳时可能保持其非常强的强度，甚至进一步加强。

下周，太平洋高压系统预计将加强，降低台风靠近本州的可能性。

根据美国国家海洋和大气管理局（NOAA）的预测，预计台风将于26日星期三穿过冲绳八重山群岛，然后继续向北进入东海，前往中国大陆。

根据中期欧洲中心天气预报的预测，预计台风将于27日星期四上午直接袭击台湾，然后继续前往中国大陆。

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